June 2017 Waiters Thread- Grayday! -9 curve. GL all Forum

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What did you get? (Presumptive release day poll. Revolting enabled)

177+
8
6%
175+
6
4%
173+
21
15%
170+
25
17%
167+
27
19%
165+
16
11%
163+
14
10%
160+
9
6%
159 -
17
12%
 
Total votes: 143

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Experiment626

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Experiment626 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 12:33 pm

Mint-Berry_Crunch wrote:
vtdelt wrote:MBC what happened to all the poll results in the OP?
? They're still there?
Oh it's my stupid work internet blocking the URLs for the images... I can see them on my phone... :roll:

rowdy

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by rowdy » Tue Jun 27, 2017 12:34 pm

Mint-Berry_Crunch wrote:Does anyone have an areopress



If you don't. Get an areopress
Easiest good coffee. It's impossible to make bad coffee with this.

saf18hornet

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by saf18hornet » Tue Jun 27, 2017 12:45 pm

Image

Okay, so using the most recent June tests only as a reference, we can make some deductions about release date.

The last 3 tests have an average release date 22 days post exam - July 4th
The last 6 tests have an average release data 21.6 days post exam - July 3rd/4th

Likely the most relevant June tests to evaluate are those from 2012 and 2013. These exams fell in the 2nd week of the month, and both were accompanied by 25 day process times by LSAC, falling 1 or 2 days after the 4th of July. However, on both occasions LSAC released scores 4 days early and before the Holiday. These June '12 and '13 dates point strongly to a - Mon, July 3 release.

Another trend of the last 13 June exams, 9 of them were released at LEAST 3 days earlier than published. On the two occasions where this was not true, they were all released 2 days early. AKA, no recent June exam has been released exactly 1 day early

Finally, an old but notable data point - even in 2008 with a June 16 test, LSAC released scores prior to the Jul 4 holiday.

My odds for release:
Fri Jun 30 = 7:1
Mon July 3 = 1:2
Tue Jul 4 = 7:2
Wed Jul 5 = 8:1
Thur Jul 6 = 20:1

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Future Ex-Engineer

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Future Ex-Engineer » Tue Jun 27, 2017 12:49 pm

^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by saf18hornet » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:02 pm

Future Ex-Engineer wrote:^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS
Appreciate or disagree with a fellow engineer?

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Ntp73821

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Ntp73821 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:04 pm

This poll was very stressful for me because I enjoy tea and coffee... :roll:
Last edited by Ntp73821 on Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Experiment626

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Experiment626 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:06 pm

saf18hornet wrote:
Future Ex-Engineer wrote:^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS
Appreciate or disagree with a fellow engineer?
Not an engineer but I appreciate it. I was too lazy to do that stuff with everything else I'm working but definitely trending I would have done with spare time.

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Future Ex-Engineer

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Future Ex-Engineer » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:06 pm

saf18hornet wrote:
Future Ex-Engineer wrote:^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS
Appreciate or disagree with a fellow engineer?
The levels of slightly-mental, unhinged desire for analysis to determine a score release date. I love it. It's essentially what I would do if I wasn't currently worried about the active shooter situation near where I work.

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Experiment626

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Experiment626 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:06 pm

Ntp73821 wrote:This poll was very stressful for me because I enjoy tea and coffee... :roll:
Porque no los dos?

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Future Ex-Engineer

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Future Ex-Engineer » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:07 pm

saf18hornet wrote:
Future Ex-Engineer wrote:^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS
Appreciate or disagree with a fellow engineer?
Also, for the record, I agree. Most likely Monday is score release IMO based on the trends.

That being said, we don't actually have any guarantee that past score releases *must* be correlated to future score releases. We all just expect it.

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heyduchess

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by heyduchess » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:11 pm

Future Ex-Engineer wrote:
saf18hornet wrote:
Future Ex-Engineer wrote:^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS
Appreciate or disagree with a fellow engineer?
Also, for the record, I agree. Most likely Monday is score release IMO based on the trends.

That being said, we don't actually have any guarantee that past score releases *must* be correlated to future score releases. We all just expect it.
I totally fell down this exact rabbit hole the week before the test. I'm thinking 3rd, too.

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Ntp73821 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:13 pm

vtdelt wrote:
Porque no los dos?
haha wow how did I not even see that option?
I think I just read the first two, thought about it, then picked one... :lol:
Last edited by Ntp73821 on Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.

saf18hornet

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by saf18hornet » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:14 pm

Future Ex-Engineer wrote:
saf18hornet wrote:
Future Ex-Engineer wrote:^ This is why I keep coming back to TLS
Appreciate or disagree with a fellow engineer?
Also, for the record, I agree. Most likely Monday is score release IMO based on the trends.

That being said, we don't actually have any guarantee that past score releases *must* be correlated to future score releases. We all just expect it.
Yeah but this is a most strongly supported question, not a flaw question!

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DorkothyParker

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by DorkothyParker » Tue Jun 27, 2017 1:20 pm

rowdy wrote:How you all can stand Starbucks, I don't understand. Come to the Pacific Northwest, we'll give you some coffee that will change your life.
I appreciate your input, as a fellow Cascadian; I do think we have a great coffee culture. With that said, Starbucks is appealing because:
a) I get a bunch of $5 gift cards from corporate which I can then put on my phone app account.
b) Did I mention the app? I can order and pick up without a wait or speaking to a human.
c) This is not where I drink coffee. This is where I drink pretty sugar-laden things that make me feel like a hip, young millennial even though I don't know how to Twitter or Instagram.

My fave local coffee is Java. But, if we are being honest, my real fave coffee is cheap, weak, and black diner coffee.

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DorkothyParker

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by DorkothyParker » Tue Jun 27, 2017 2:58 pm

I made the mistake of telling a lawyer I'm acquainted with that I took the LSAT a couple weeks ago. He literally yelled, "So, did you get your score yet?" from a restaurant patio. Would this qualify as justifiable homicide? What about just temporary insanity? Please advise.

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Future Ex-Engineer

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Future Ex-Engineer » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:01 pm

DorkothyParker wrote:I made the mistake of telling a lawyer I'm acquainted with that I took the LSAT a couple weeks ago. He literally yelled, "So, did you get your score yet?" from a restaurant patio. Would this qualify as justifiable homicide? What about just temporary insanity? Please advise.
Why is this a problem?

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chargers21

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by chargers21 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:02 pm

Chandhi shitpoasting in the on topics?

Just stopped by to remind everyone that lying about gray day is a ban-worthy offense and will be treated as such

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DorkothyParker

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by DorkothyParker » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:07 pm

Future Ex-Engineer wrote:
DorkothyParker wrote:I made the mistake of telling a lawyer I'm acquainted with that I took the LSAT a couple weeks ago. He literally yelled, "So, did you get your score yet?" from a restaurant patio. Would this qualify as justifiable homicide? What about just temporary insanity? Please advise.
Why is this a problem?

He is trolling me as he knows I am a little stressed, which he then is quick to point out is my future if I follow this dark and terrible path. But from a restaurant patio? The chutzpah!

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chandhi

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by chandhi » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:09 pm

chargers21 wrote:Chandhi shitpoasting in the on topics?
Gotta keep my vice

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Mint-Berry_Crunch

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Mint-Berry_Crunch » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:12 pm

I got my lsat scores during an interview. The interviewer saw it was my score and got super excited



Was hired

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Future Ex-Engineer

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Future Ex-Engineer » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:16 pm

DorkothyParker wrote:
Future Ex-Engineer wrote:
DorkothyParker wrote:I made the mistake of telling a lawyer I'm acquainted with that I took the LSAT a couple weeks ago. He literally yelled, "So, did you get your score yet?" from a restaurant patio. Would this qualify as justifiable homicide? What about just temporary insanity? Please advise.
Why is this a problem?

He is trolling me as he knows I am a little stressed, which he then is quick to point out is my future if I follow this dark and terrible path. But from a restaurant patio? The chutzpah!
Ohhhhh totally fair then. I was thinking it was kind of nice that he was interested. If he knew you didn't have it yet then LOL

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Mint-Berry_Crunch

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Mint-Berry_Crunch » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:24 pm

Riddled basins is in Jurassic park



#triggeres

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MediocreAtBest

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by MediocreAtBest » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:33 pm

My biggest pet peeves are:

When people fart in cars.
When people slam my car doors.
When people put their shoes on furniture.
When people say "it could be worse"
Vague LSAT questions/answers.

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Experiment626

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by Experiment626 » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:37 pm

MediocreAtBest wrote:My biggest pet peeves are:
Vague LSAT questions/answers.
Trigger warning
[+] Spoiler
What different apes do with screwdrivers

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MediocreAtBest

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Re: June 2017 Waiters Thread- Dowsing for gray

Post by MediocreAtBest » Tue Jun 27, 2017 3:39 pm

vtdelt wrote:
MediocreAtBest wrote:My biggest pet peeves are:
Vague LSAT questions/answers.
Trigger warning
[+] Spoiler
What different apes do with screwdrivers

WHY. That has 2 right answers. Triggered. Now I'm mad.

Seriously? What are you waiting for?

Now there's a charge.
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