Post
by Anonymous User » Thu Apr 07, 2016 12:40 am
(Anon b/c i would be outed if posted) So I talked to my buddy who is a mid level at one of the "Big 3". Apparently, the market is a tale of multiple streams. Oilfield services has been thrashed by the downturn, so firms/ practices operating with those clients are incredibly slow. By contrast, some of the PE juniors are running around with their heads on fire because of a lot of restructuring and private acquisitions.
Energy and project finance is a bit slower, but massive deals regarding new refineries, biofuels, and LNG export facilities are offsetting some of the slowness from upstream E&P.
Midstream is also heating up with consolidation, construction, and restructuring (the industry is fee-based)--so transactions there seem to be steady. But then again this is a tale of two cities as well. Levered MLPs are getting hammered on their dividend payouts. MLPs with more stable capital structures are still doing fine.
By contrast, petrochemical firms (think all of the plastics manufacturers/ any one who uses petroleum as a manufacturing input) are having a field day because the cost of their input has fallen so dramatically. Many firms in this industry slice are spending billions on capital expenses for new facilities. The thinking here is that because variable costs are so low, firms may be able to amortize away a lot more of the financing on these facilities upfront than the normally would be able to do under 'normal' circumstances.
Also, with the relaxation on exportation, there's a fair amount of international work to be had. Texas crude is less costly to refine than the trash from Canada and Venezuela
As more EPs go under, restructuring and funds who vulture in to snap up assets from ch 11 will be busy.
It's more complicated than it seems; but, if you're doing bread and butter for midcap e&p's, oilfield services, or are siloed into some sort of specialized Capital Markets practice, things are not rosy.